[sustran] Re: Jakarta plans "Odds and Evens" license plate traffic rationing

[bruun at seas.upenn.edu]

Hi everyone:

I want to add two additional points:

1) I am not an expert on license schemes like the others who have  
responded, but I do want to raise a concern.
Some people actually have a more genuine need for a car every day than  
others, for example, people making deliveries and
who otherwise need it for their work. Others just don't like to mix  
with the hoi polloi and could actually use other options than the
car. This method of alternating plates treats them all the same.

2) Cornie uses the word "succumbs" to Metro as if it were a disease.  
Jakarta is, after all, a city of over 10 million people and distances  
are long. Simply
building BRT and improving the commuter railways may still be  
inadequate. Half a billion dollars per year could be leveraged into a  
lot
of grade separation for both buses and rail, if it was managed efficiently.

Eric Bruun


Quoting Lloyd Wright <lwright at vivacities.org>:

> Dear all,
>
> There ways to make license plate restrictions work without significant
> purchases of second vehicles.  However, the simple odd-even scheme as
> proposed in Jakarta is perhaps the most ineffective.
>
> To discourage additional car purchases (in order to bypass the
> restrictions), a city can:
>
> 1. Restrict four numbers per day (meaning one would have to purchase more
> than two cars to drive every day)
> 2. Do not permit the same ending number for any vehicle registered by the
> same person or for a vehicle at the same address
> 3. Change the days associated with each number at least once per year.
>
> License plate restrictions are more realistic for developing cities than
> more complex TDM mechanisms such as congestion pricing.  To be effective,
> though, mechanisms as suggested should be implemented that can discourage
> the purchasing of additional vehicles.  And of course, a well-functioning
> vehicle registration system is required.
>
> Best regards,
>
> Lloyd
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: sustran-discuss-bounces+lwright=vivacities.org at list.jca.apc.org
> [mailto:sustran-discuss-bounces+lwright=vivacities.org at list.jca.apc.org] On
> Behalf Of Cornie Huizenga
> Sent: 18 December 2012 10:40
> To: Carlosfelipe Pardo
> Cc: sustran-discuss
> Subject: [sustran] Re: Jakarta plans "Odds and Evens" license plate traffic
> rationing
>
> Hi Carlos - I have heard a lot of anecdotal evidence on people buying
> additional cars but have not really seen hard numbers on this. Obviously
> what the governor of Jakarta is most interested in is the number of cars on
> the road on a given day and not the number of cars owned.  There are hard
> numbers available that such a odd-even scheme reduces the numbers of cars
> actually on the road on a given day and that it does increase average
> speeds.  It is good to see that additional investments are being made in
> public transport.
>
> My preference would however be a vehicle quota with the auction proceeds
> being used to improve public transport. Currently 400 new cars are being
> registered in greater Jakarta area (
> http://www.indii.co.id/news_daily_detail.php?id=4164) resulting in annual
> 144,000 new cars.  Having a quota of 50% of that number (70,000) with an
> average auction price of $7,500 would generate $ 525,000,000 per year in
> income for the city and would enable it to implement   a high quality
> public transport system as long as it does not succumbs to the idea of
> having a metro.   Various feasibility studies have also been carried out on
> congestion charging in Jakarta - this could be used to regulate the use of
> existing vehicles.
>
> All in all a more sustainable approach than the rather primitive odd-even
> scheme which does not generate any revenues.
>
> Cornie
>
> On Mon, Dec 17, 2012 at 11:36 PM, Carlosfelipe Pardo <carlosfpardo at gmail.com
>> wrote:
>
>> Based on the experience of every city where this scheme has been
>> applied, I wouldn't be suprised if the amount of car sales (used and
>> old) increase substantially once it's implemented...
>>
>>
>> On 17/12/2012 02:58 a.m., Paul Barter wrote:
>> > *** Jakarta Opts for Odds-Evens Car Restriction Plan ***
>> >
>> >
>> http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/news/jakarta-opts-for-odds-evens-car-re
>> striction-plan/560260
>> > Ronna Nirmala | December 07, 2012
>> >
>> > Jakarta will impose car restrictions based on license plate numbers
>> > on major streets by March next year to ease the capital's notorious
>> > traffic woes, Governor Joko Widodo said.
>> >
>> > The new policy will impose rotating restrictions based on odd or
>> > even license plate numbers in Jakarta's main business areas.
>> >
>> > The restriction, the governor said, has been approved by the Jakarta
>> > Police and will take effect every weekday from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. But
>> > determining which vehicles can enter the areas on what day or time,
>> > he said, would require further study.
>> >
>> > Joko admitted that the plan would generate strong criticism and even
>> > resistance from road users in Jakarta.
>> >
>> > "If we don't take some drastic measures [Jakarta's traffic problems]
>> > will not be over, because the number of vehicles is not getting any
>> > smaller," Joko said.
>> >
>> > "Which is why we will inform the public and explain [the policy]
>> > slowly. This policy is to help people to switch to public transport
>> > and to urge people to conserve the use of fuel."
>> >
>> > Joko said Jakarta will provide more buses to anticipate surging
>> > demand for reliable, comfortable and accessible public transport
>> > once the regulation is in place.
>> >
>> > "In January we will add 200 articulated TransJakarta buses, with an
>> > additional 600 buses [in the future], plus 1,000 medium sized
>> > [Kopaja] buses. This means there is an effort to increase and revamp
>> > [public transportation]," he said.
>> >
>> > Joko said the government is studying whether the policy would affect
>> > motorcycles. "So far those exempted by this regulation are public
>> > transportation, taxis, ambulances, TransJakarta buses and Kopajas,"
>> > he said. "Motorcycles should be affected by the regulation but we
>> > will study this further."
>> >
>> > .....
>> >
>> > ===
>> > Other items on this issue can be found via a google search on
>> > "jakarta odds evens license plate", such as the following:
>> >
>> > Odd-even system to benefit plate makers Jakarta Post-15 Dec, 2012 If
>> > you plan to outsmart the city administration's upcoming odd-even
>> > license plate system by making a fake, alternate license plate, you
>> > should ...
>> >
>> > Police to install devices to spot fake license plates Jakarta
>> > Post-14 Dec, 2012 The Jakarta Police are looking for ways to enforce
>> > the odd-even license plate policy, which has faced skepticism and
>> > criticism from Jakarta's ...
>> >
>> > House Member Says Odd-Even Plan Worth Trying Jakarta Globe-35
>> > minutes ago House Member Says Odd-Even Plan Worth Trying ... the
>> > Jakarta administration's plan for a license plate-based vehicle
>> > restriction scheme, ... days depending on whether their license
>> > plates end in odd or evennumbers, but ...
>> >
>> > Jakarta to try odd-even license plate car restriction plan
>> > NEWS.com.au-11 Dec, 2012
>> > The plan would see cars with odd-numbered license plates banned on
>> > even dates and vice versa, TheJakarta Post reports. Vehicles would
>> > be ...
>> >
>> > Jakarta Opts for Odds-Evens Car Restriction Plan Jakarta Globe-6
>> > Dec, 2012 Jakarta will impose car restrictions based on license
>> > plate numbers on ... restrictions based on odd oreven license plate
>> > numbers in Jakarta's ...
>> >
>> > Alternative to Odd-Even License Plates Tempo Interaktif-10 Dec, 2012
>> > TEMPO Interactive, Jakarta:There is dissension within the ranks of
>> > the Jakarta administration regarding theodd-even license plates number
> ...
>> >
>> > Odd-Even License Plate Numbers Policy to Be Applied in 2013
>> > BeritaJakarta.com-6 Dec, 2012
>> > Jakarta Provincial Government is going to implement private vehicles
>> > usage limitation through odd andeven license plate numbers in the ...
>> >
>> > Indonesian Transport Society Wants Delay on Odd, Even Plan Jakarta
>> > Globe-8 Dec, 2012 ... the Jakarta Administration's plan to implement
>> > a license plate-based ... a rotating restriction on car use based on
>> > odd or even license plate ...
>> >
>> >
>> > --
>> > Paul Barter
>> > http://www.reinventingparking.org
>> > http://www.reinventingtransport.org
>> > http://www.spp.nus.edu.sg/Faculty_Paul_Barter.aspx
>> > --------------------------------------------------------
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>> >
>> > ================================================================
>> > SUSTRAN-DISCUSS is a forum devoted to discussion of people-centred,
>> equitable and sustainable transport with a focus on developing
>> countries (the 'Global South').
>> >
>>
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>> SUSTRAN-DISCUSS is a forum devoted to discussion of people-centred,
>> equitable and sustainable transport with a focus on developing
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>>
>
>
>
> --
> Cornie Huizenga
> Joint Convener
> Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport
> Mobile: +86 13901949332
> cornie.huizenga at slocatpartnership.org
> www.slocat.net
> --------------------------------------------------------
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> SUSTRAN-DISCUSS is a forum devoted to discussion of people-centred,
> equitable and sustainable transport with a focus on developing countries
> (the 'Global South').
>
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> SUSTRAN-DISCUSS is a forum devoted to discussion of people-centred,  
> equitable and sustainable transport with a focus on developing  
> countries (the 'Global South').
>
>