[sustran] Re: Jakarta plans "Odds and Evens" license plate traffic rationing

Lloyd Wright lwright at vivacities.org
Tue Dec 18 13:05:21 JST 2012


Dear all,

There ways to make license plate restrictions work without significant
purchases of second vehicles.  However, the simple odd-even scheme as
proposed in Jakarta is perhaps the most ineffective.

To discourage additional car purchases (in order to bypass the
restrictions), a city can:

1. Restrict four numbers per day (meaning one would have to purchase more
than two cars to drive every day)
2. Do not permit the same ending number for any vehicle registered by the
same person or for a vehicle at the same address
3. Change the days associated with each number at least once per year.

License plate restrictions are more realistic for developing cities than
more complex TDM mechanisms such as congestion pricing.  To be effective,
though, mechanisms as suggested should be implemented that can discourage
the purchasing of additional vehicles.  And of course, a well-functioning
vehicle registration system is required.

Best regards,

Lloyd

-----Original Message-----
From: sustran-discuss-bounces+lwright=vivacities.org at list.jca.apc.org
[mailto:sustran-discuss-bounces+lwright=vivacities.org at list.jca.apc.org] On
Behalf Of Cornie Huizenga
Sent: 18 December 2012 10:40
To: Carlosfelipe Pardo
Cc: sustran-discuss
Subject: [sustran] Re: Jakarta plans "Odds and Evens" license plate traffic
rationing

Hi Carlos - I have heard a lot of anecdotal evidence on people buying
additional cars but have not really seen hard numbers on this. Obviously
what the governor of Jakarta is most interested in is the number of cars on
the road on a given day and not the number of cars owned.  There are hard
numbers available that such a odd-even scheme reduces the numbers of cars
actually on the road on a given day and that it does increase average
speeds.  It is good to see that additional investments are being made in
public transport.

My preference would however be a vehicle quota with the auction proceeds
being used to improve public transport. Currently 400 new cars are being
registered in greater Jakarta area (
http://www.indii.co.id/news_daily_detail.php?id=4164) resulting in annual
144,000 new cars.  Having a quota of 50% of that number (70,000) with an
average auction price of $7,500 would generate $ 525,000,000 per year in
income for the city and would enable it to implement   a high quality
public transport system as long as it does not succumbs to the idea of
having a metro.   Various feasibility studies have also been carried out on
congestion charging in Jakarta - this could be used to regulate the use of
existing vehicles.

All in all a more sustainable approach than the rather primitive odd-even
scheme which does not generate any revenues.

Cornie

On Mon, Dec 17, 2012 at 11:36 PM, Carlosfelipe Pardo <carlosfpardo at gmail.com
> wrote:

> Based on the experience of every city where this scheme has been 
> applied, I wouldn't be suprised if the amount of car sales (used and
> old) increase substantially once it's implemented...
>
>
> On 17/12/2012 02:58 a.m., Paul Barter wrote:
> > *** Jakarta Opts for Odds-Evens Car Restriction Plan ***
> >
> >
> http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/news/jakarta-opts-for-odds-evens-car-re
> striction-plan/560260
> > Ronna Nirmala | December 07, 2012
> >
> > Jakarta will impose car restrictions based on license plate numbers 
> > on major streets by March next year to ease the capital's notorious 
> > traffic woes, Governor Joko Widodo said.
> >
> > The new policy will impose rotating restrictions based on odd or 
> > even license plate numbers in Jakarta's main business areas.
> >
> > The restriction, the governor said, has been approved by the Jakarta 
> > Police and will take effect every weekday from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. But 
> > determining which vehicles can enter the areas on what day or time, 
> > he said, would require further study.
> >
> > Joko admitted that the plan would generate strong criticism and even 
> > resistance from road users in Jakarta.
> >
> > "If we don't take some drastic measures [Jakarta's traffic problems] 
> > will not be over, because the number of vehicles is not getting any 
> > smaller," Joko said.
> >
> > "Which is why we will inform the public and explain [the policy] 
> > slowly. This policy is to help people to switch to public transport 
> > and to urge people to conserve the use of fuel."
> >
> > Joko said Jakarta will provide more buses to anticipate surging 
> > demand for reliable, comfortable and accessible public transport 
> > once the regulation is in place.
> >
> > "In January we will add 200 articulated TransJakarta buses, with an 
> > additional 600 buses [in the future], plus 1,000 medium sized 
> > [Kopaja] buses. This means there is an effort to increase and revamp 
> > [public transportation]," he said.
> >
> > Joko said the government is studying whether the policy would affect 
> > motorcycles. "So far those exempted by this regulation are public 
> > transportation, taxis, ambulances, TransJakarta buses and Kopajas," 
> > he said. "Motorcycles should be affected by the regulation but we 
> > will study this further."
> >
> > .....
> >
> > ===
> > Other items on this issue can be found via a google search on 
> > "jakarta odds evens license plate", such as the following:
> >
> > Odd-even system to benefit plate makers Jakarta Post-15 Dec, 2012 If 
> > you plan to outsmart the city administration's upcoming odd-even 
> > license plate system by making a fake, alternate license plate, you 
> > should ...
> >
> > Police to install devices to spot fake license plates Jakarta 
> > Post-14 Dec, 2012 The Jakarta Police are looking for ways to enforce 
> > the odd-even license plate policy, which has faced skepticism and 
> > criticism from Jakarta's ...
> >
> > House Member Says Odd-Even Plan Worth Trying Jakarta Globe-35 
> > minutes ago House Member Says Odd-Even Plan Worth Trying ... the 
> > Jakarta administration's plan for a license plate-based vehicle 
> > restriction scheme, ... days depending on whether their license 
> > plates end in odd or evennumbers, but ...
> >
> > Jakarta to try odd-even license plate car restriction plan
> > NEWS.com.au-11 Dec, 2012
> > The plan would see cars with odd-numbered license plates banned on 
> > even dates and vice versa, TheJakarta Post reports. Vehicles would 
> > be ...
> >
> > Jakarta Opts for Odds-Evens Car Restriction Plan Jakarta Globe-6 
> > Dec, 2012 Jakarta will impose car restrictions based on license 
> > plate numbers on ... restrictions based on odd oreven license plate 
> > numbers in Jakarta's ...
> >
> > Alternative to Odd-Even License Plates Tempo Interaktif-10 Dec, 2012 
> > TEMPO Interactive, Jakarta:There is dissension within the ranks of 
> > the Jakarta administration regarding theodd-even license plates number
...
> >
> > Odd-Even License Plate Numbers Policy to Be Applied in 2013
> > BeritaJakarta.com-6 Dec, 2012
> > Jakarta Provincial Government is going to implement private vehicles 
> > usage limitation through odd andeven license plate numbers in the ...
> >
> > Indonesian Transport Society Wants Delay on Odd, Even Plan Jakarta 
> > Globe-8 Dec, 2012 ... the Jakarta Administration's plan to implement 
> > a license plate-based ... a rotating restriction on car use based on 
> > odd or even license plate ...
> >
> >
> > --
> > Paul Barter
> > http://www.reinventingparking.org
> > http://www.reinventingtransport.org
> > http://www.spp.nus.edu.sg/Faculty_Paul_Barter.aspx
> > --------------------------------------------------------
> > To search the archives of sustran-discuss visit 
> > http://www.google.com/coop/cse?cx=014715651517519735401:ijjtzwbu_ss
> >
> > ================================================================
> > SUSTRAN-DISCUSS is a forum devoted to discussion of people-centred,
> equitable and sustainable transport with a focus on developing 
> countries (the 'Global South').
> >
>
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>
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> SUSTRAN-DISCUSS is a forum devoted to discussion of people-centred, 
> equitable and sustainable transport with a focus on developing 
> countries (the 'Global South').
>



--
Cornie Huizenga
Joint Convener
Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport
Mobile: +86 13901949332
cornie.huizenga at slocatpartnership.org
www.slocat.net
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