[sustran] FW: [atraPolicy] "The Future Isn't What It Used To Be"

[Daryl Oster]

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Jerry Schneider [mailto:jbs at peak.org]
> Sent: Thursday, December 30, 2004 2:27 PM
> To: policy at advancedtransit.org; seattleprt at yahoogroups.com
> Subject: [atraPolicy] "The Future Isn't What It Used To Be"
> 
> Be sure to read the page on "new technologies" - it completely ignores
> what
> is going on
> in the real world and I see it as part of a self-serving essay that
> advocates the author's strong
> interest in "sustainable", demand&auto-reducing activities. Much of the
> content is worth reading
> but his bias against building anything new and different is very apparent.
> 
> If you are so inclined, give him some feedback. It seems to me that those
> interested in innovations are
> being bashed from above (i.e. LRT, maglev, monorail) and ignored from
> below
> (sustainable-automobility reduction people) although I've recently seen
> some bashing from below as well.
> 
> ------- --------------------------------------
> 
> >Date: Mon, 27 Dec 2004 12:56:48 -0800
> >From: Todd Alexander Litman <litman at VTPI.ORG>
> >To: UTSG at JISCMAIL.AC.UK
> >Subject: [UTSG] "The Future Isn't What It Used To Be"
> >
> >Dear Colleagues,
> >
> >I'm writing to let you know about our latest draft publication, "The
> Future
> >Isn't What It Used To Be: Changing Trends And Their Implications For
> >Transport Planning" (http://www.vtpi.org/future.pdf).
> >
> >This paper examines various demographic, economic and market trends that
> >affect travel demand, and their implications for transport planning
> during
> >the next century. During Twentieth Century per capita motor vehicle
> travel
> >demand increased by an order of magnitude. Many of the factors that
> caused
> >this growth have peaked in developed countries and are likely to decline.
> >This indicates that future transport demand will be increasingly diverse.
> >Transport planning can reflect these shifts by reducing emphasis on
> >automobile travel and increasing support for alternative modes and smart
> >growth development patterns.
> >
> >I would appreciate your feedback. Please let me know if you find any
> errors
> >or omissions, or if you have any other ideas of factors that affect past
> >and future travel demand. Also, please let me know if you know a source
> of
> >good time-series shipping cost data, such as the real cost of
> transporting
> >a ton of freight from New York to London or San Francisco for each decade
> >from 1900 to 2000.
> >
> >
> >
> >Sincerely,
> >Todd Litman, Director
> >Victoria Transport Policy Institute
> >"Efficiency - Equity - Clarity"
> >1250 Rudlin Street
> >Victoria, BC, V8V 3R7, Canada
> >Phone & Fax: 250-360-1560
> >Email: litman at vtpi.org
> >Website: http://www.vtpi.org
> 
> 
> - Jerry Schneider -
>      Innovative Transportation Technologies
>        http://faculty.washington.edu/jbs/itrans
> 
> 
> 
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